Friday, February 5, 2016

How to trade Crude Palm Oil Futures ( FCPO ) 5 FEB 2016

#HowtotradeFCPO

(Feb 5): Malaysian palm oil futures hit their highest level in nearly 21 months on Friday and posted their biggest weekly jump in over four months on short-covering ahead of a long weekend and concerns over declining production.
The palm oil contract for April delivery on the Bursa Malaysia Derivatives Exchange closed 1.7% higher at RM2,575 (US$619.74) per tonne, after rising as much as 2.9% to RM2,604, its highest level since May 16, 2014, earlier in the session.
Palm posted a weekly gain of 5.4%, its biggest since the week ended Sept 25, 2015.
Traded volume stood at 56,077 lots of 25 tonnes each.
"There was massive covering of both buy and sell towards the end," said a trader with a brokerage firm in Kuala Lumpur, referring to short-covering before the four-day weekend.
Markets will be closed on Feb 8 and 9 for the Lunar New Year holidays.
"The prevailing worry is that production this month is expected to be lower given the lesser number of working days. End-stocks of around 2.1 million tonnes are low enough for prices to further rally," said the trader.
Malaysian inventories in January are forecast to have declined 9.3% on month to 2.39 million tonnes, according to aReuters poll.
Production is also expected to have declined 14% to 1.2 million tonnes, in line with seasonal trend and as the dry weather impact from the El Nino weather event kicks in this year.
The Malaysian Palm Oil Board (MPOB) is due to release January data on Feb 10.
In competing vegetable oil markets, the US March soyoil contract gained 0.9%, while the May soybean oil contract on the Dalian Commodity Exchange rose 1.2%.
Palm, soy and crude oil prices at 1026 GMT
Contract       Month   Last  Change    Low   High Volume
MY PALM OIL     FEB6   2520  +67.00   2478   2520    403
MY PALM OIL     MAR6   2516  +25.00   2493   2547   3017
MY PALM OIL     APR6   2575  +44.00   2534   2604  28459
CHINA PALM OLEINMAY6   4834  +46.00   4774   4848 488836
CHINA SOYOIL    MAY6   5736  +70.00   5666   5750 408818
CBOT SOY OIL    MAR6  31.51   +3.00  31.31  31.60   5691
INDIA PALM OIL  FEB6 463.30   +3.00 461.10 466.00   2423
INDIA SOYOIL    FEB6 620.25   +1.30 618.50 621.60  22060
NYMEX CRUDE     MAR6  32.11   +0.39  31.37  32.36  52950
Palm oil prices in Malaysian ringgit per tonne
CBOT soy oil in US cents per pound
Dalian soy oil and RBD palm olein in Chinese yuan per tonne
India soy oil in Indian rupee per 10 kg
Crude in US dollars per barrel
(US$1 = RM4.1550)
(US$1 = 67.6600 Indian rupees)
(US$1 = 6.5722 Chinese yuan)

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